#armvote13 hashtag analysis update Feb 20 3pm, 7pm, 8pm

Full report

nodexl

Okay, this is becoming a little weird. I’m not entirely sure what’s happening, but I think that group 2 is still talking about the “hijacking” and group 1 is talking about the election.

For those interested:

#iditord 3pm Yerevan Feb 20
Րաֆֆի 3pm Yerevan Feb 20

Then a rally was held in Freedom Square at 5pm Yerevan time.
Here’s the analysis of #armvote13 at 7pm Yerevan time.

nodexl

Again, group 1 Armenians, group 2 is foreigners, and group 3 is the Azerbaijani crew.

And #armvote13 at 8pm Yerevan time. (Looks similar to 7pm!)

Elections in the Caucasus

South Caucasians aren’t so sure if their national elections are conducted fairly. Only half of Armenians (50%) and Azerbaijanis (46%) feel that the last election was fair. Nearly two-third of Georgians (63%), however, feel that their last election was fair. Interestingly, over a third of Armenians (46%) are certain that the last election wasn’t fair, while Azerbaijanis and Georgians are mixed between thinking that the election wasn’t fair and not being sure.

As to the reasons why they think that the elections aren’t fair, please look at the slides for responses on a number of items. Of particular interest is the high number of “don’t knows” from Azerbaijani and Georgian respondents. Armenians, whether they believe that different aspects of elections are fair or not, are certainly “more certain” than their neighbors are.

Most Armenians and Georgians believe that they’ll vote in the next national election. Azerbaijanis, however, aren’t so apt to vote, with over half (57%) saying that they don’t think that they’ll vote. Furthermore, only half of Azerbaijanis (48%) are sure that they’d vote in a presidential election (if it were to happen next week – which it won’t!). Nearly two-thirds of Armenians (64%) and Georgians (62%) are sure that they’d vote in a presidential election.